President Biden last week signed the $280 billion Chips and Science Act, or Chips+, to subsidize domestic semiconductor production and ease shortages. Big mistake. This comes on the heels of China’s banning exports of natural sand to Taiwan in retaliation for Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s visit. Sand!
There should never be a shortage of semiconductors. Semiconductor chips are made by melting sand and slicing it into thin wafers for processing. Shortages? Just go to the beach. Yet shortages still happen, though the current one is almost over.
You can’t just throw money at the problem. Yes, to process those wafers companies spend billions on fabrication facilities, or fabs, and expensive ultraprecise machines that stay state-of-the-art for maybe five years. They spend constantly on lithography, implanting, annealing, sputtering and polishing, with constant tinkering to improve yields. In semiconductor manufacturing, a tiny fleck of dust is like an asteroid hitting a city. One speck can ruin months of work. Intel founder Andy Grove once told me the story of someone who accidentally spilled ink into a fab’s distilled-water supply. Engineers freaked out, but bizarrely yields went up. Making chips is more art than science. It isn’t only sand plus capital; brains play a huge role.
I once visited a fabrication plant in Dayton, Ohio, where General Motors had decided to make its own chips. GM was shocked when the plant couldn’t produce any usable chips. Nothing worked. It turned out the tweezers that employees used to hold and move wafers were kicking up contaminants.
In the early 1990s in Taipei, I met with Morris Chang, founder of the new fab-for-hire Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. He proudly showed me enclosed carriers for their wafers, no tweezers needed. That’s really how TSMC got its start.
A new “fabless” semiconductor model emerged.